Here's a link to the five page summary of the PMA budget forecast. The summary is the result of a detailed model that factors in all aspects of the district operations, historical and anticipated expense trends, enrollment and the state funding formula.
https://acrobat.com/#d=eTpLpggB*63vSkQI*sFOkw
The model assumes the district will continue to provide the same services it does this year cast forward. If you note the "Ending Fund Balance" line on page 3 you will see it drops from $5M to $-9.8M in five years, a budget deficit of $15 million.
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